Mango Fade

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.16
3.33 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
116.08%
905 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
222 openings · below min
7 days
767 openings · below min
30 days
905 openings · below min
since tracking started
905 openings · below min
-0.5%253.0%506.5%

Small sample. 905 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h222195.03%±311.0—sample
7d76798.04%±98.9—sample
30d905116.08%±90.1—sample
All905116.08%±90.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$7371,134 gems340.6x
★ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$199306 gems91.74x
★ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$199306 gems91.74x
★ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$199306 gems91.74x
★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$165254 gems76.40x
★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$165254 gems76.40x
★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$124192 gems57.51x
★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$2.163.33 gems$124192 gems57.51x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$2.163.33 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $737 (340.6x)