marathon-raingg

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$19.43
29.89 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
46.50%
6 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
6 openings · below min
since tracking started
6 openings · below min
-0.5%47.8%96.0%

Small sample. 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h646.50%±49.0—sample
7d646.50%±49.0—sample
30d646.50%±49.0—sample
All646.50%±49.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$19.4329.89 gems$1.171.8 gems0.06x
SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$19.4329.89 gems$1.171.8 gems0.06x
USP-S | Stainless (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$19.4329.89 gems$17.6927.21 gems0.91x
SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$19.4329.89 gems$2.333.58 gems0.12x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —