Mems' Fun Box

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.72
2.65 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.70%
4,612 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
342 openings · below min
7 days
95.34%±48.374,435 openings
30 days
91.70%±46.524,612 openings
since tracking started
91.70%±46.524,612 openings
-0.5%72.0%144.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h34257.69%±75.4—sample
7d4,43595.34%±48.4—sample
30d4,61291.70%±46.5—sample
All4,61291.70%±46.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1.722.65 gems$1,1771,811 gems683.4x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$1.722.65 gems$1,1651,793 gems676.5x
★ Flip Knifeknife · covert$1.722.65 gems$331509 gems192.1x
★ Flip Knifeknife · covert$1.722.65 gems$331509 gems192.1x
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.722.65 gems$207319 gems120.4x
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.722.65 gems$207319 gems120.4x
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.722.65 gems$207319 gems120.4x
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified$1.722.65 gems$207319 gems120.4x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerFrechheit$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerFrechheit$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerFrechheit$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerFrechheit$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerFrechheit$1.722.65 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,177 (683.4x)