Norse
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$96.20
148 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $86.58 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
114.36%
1,030 openings, odds method
Variance
17.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,030 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $5,281 8,125 gems | 30.5% | 10 | 5.1 | 1.94× |
| Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 67 | $1,361 2,094 gems | 23.6% | 14 | 15.4 | 0.91× |
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 33 | $218 335 gems | 7.5% | 31 | 30.9 | 1.00× |
| AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $192 295 gems | 11.1% | 43 | 51.5 | 0.83× |
| P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $166 256 gems | 19.2% | 116 | 103.0 | 1.13× |
| CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 20 | $57.23 88.04 gems | 3.3% | 52 | 51.5 | 1.01× |
| USP-S | Pathfinder (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 35.0% | $8.80 13.54 gems | 3.6% | 349 | 360.5 | 0.97× |
| SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 40.0% | $2.65 4.07 gems | 1.2% | 415 | 412.0 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covertBOTAIRTXonKICK Refbot,ai 50kLBs$96.20148 gems$5,2818,125 gems54.90x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $96.20 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.5%classified 1.5%restricted 18.0%mil spec 5.0%industrial 35.0%consumer 40.0%best hit $5,281 (54.90x)