Price
$24.53
37.74 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $22.07 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.75%
2,991 openings, odds method
Variance
56.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 200
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,071 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $24.53 | 89.98% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.5%classified 0.5%Mythical 10.0%restricted 15.0%mil spec 30.0%#b0c3d9 40.0%best hit $3,163 (128.9x)