Old Skool Cool

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$73.46
113 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $66.11 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.08%
438 openings, odds method
Variance
7.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
70 openings · below min
7 days
79.23%±26.88401 openings
30 days
78.08%±25.72438 openings
since tracking started
78.08%±25.72438 openings
8.0%73.0%138.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7073.21%±64.3—odds
7d40179.23%±26.9−0.8σodds
30d43878.08%±25.7−0.9σodds
All43878.08%±25.7−0.9σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 438 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 400$2,802 4,311 gems10.6%11.10.91×
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary1 in 400$2,045 3,147 gems7.7%01.10.00×
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 400$1,393 2,143 gems5.3%11.10.91×
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 400$1,056 1,625 gems4.0%01.10.00×
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 50$365 562 gems11.1%78.80.80×
AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 50$335 516 gems10.1%118.81.26×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 20$150 230 gems11.3%1921.90.87×
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn)weapon · covert10.0%$82.52 127 gems12.5%5143.81.16×
★ StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon12.5%$46.53 71.59 gems8.8%4454.80.80×
AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert12.5%$46.14 70.99 gems8.7%5854.81.06×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified25.0%$17.77 27.34 gems6.7%110109.51.00×
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert30.0%$6.97 10.73 gems3.2%136131.41.04×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$2,8024,311 gems38.14x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$1,3932,143 gems18.96x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$6.9710.73 gems0.09x
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$6.9710.73 gems0.09x
AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$46.1470.99 gems0.63x
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$6.9710.73 gems0.09x
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$6.9710.73 gems0.09x
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$6.9710.73 gems0.09x
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert$73.46113 gems$6.9710.73 gems0.09x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$73.4690.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 60.0%legendary 0.3%Covert 0.3%restricted 2.0%other 12.5%classified 25.0%best hit $2,802 (38.14x)