Olympus
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$146.11
225 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $131.50 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.00%
206 openings, odds method
Variance
5.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 206 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $1,852 2,850 gems | 42.3% | 8 | 6.2 | 1.29× |
| M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 14 | $564 867 gems | 30.0% | 11 | 14.4 | 0.76× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 10.0% | $255 393 gems | 19.4% | 23 | 20.6 | 1.12× |
| Galil AR | Cerberus (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $38.84 59.76 gems | 3.0% | 22 | 20.6 | 1.07× |
| USP-S | Orion (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $32.17 49.49 gems | 2.4% | 14 | 20.6 | 0.68× |
| Sticker | GODSENT (Holo) | Atlanta 2017sticker · remarkable | 20.0% | $15.91 24.47 gems | 2.4% | 29 | 41.2 | 0.70× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff | 20.0% | $3.06 4.7 gems | 0.5% | 51 | 41.2 | 1.24× |
| Sticker | Baby Medusasticker · high | 20.0% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 0.0% | 48 | 41.2 | 1.17× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $146 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 13.0%classified 17.0%restricted 10.0%remarkable 20.0%#4b69ff 20.0%high 20.0%best hit $1,852 (12.68x)