Peek Mid
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$29.27
45.03 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $26.34 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
106.83%
1,297 openings, odds method
Variance
23.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,309 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueLonsdale BOSWALL$29.2745.03 gems$15.0723.18 gems0.51x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $29.27 | 89.98% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 10.0%covert 0.5%rare 1.0%classified 26.5%Mythical 5.0%#4b69ff 5.0%blue 5.0%violet 10.0%Restricted 10.0%pink 27.0%best hit $1,772 (60.53x)