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Phantom Troupe

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$372.33
573 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $335.10 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
73.01%
493 openings, odds method
Variance
15.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
34 openings · below min
7 days
57.62%±43.23323 openings
30 days
73.01%±34.99493 openings
since tracking started
73.01%±34.99493 openings
-0.5%70.8%142.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h348.19%±133.2—odds
7d32357.62%±43.2−1.5σodds
30d49373.01%±35.0−1.0σodds
All49373.01%±35.0−1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 493 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New)other1 in 100$12K 18,450 gems35.8%34.90.61×
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 100$7,710 11,861 gems23.0%54.91.01×
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Knives1 in 100$4,309 6,629 gems12.9%44.90.81×
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert1 in 100$1,559 2,399 gems4.7%74.91.42×
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 17$871 1,340 gems15.6%2029.60.68×
G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 17$137 211 gems2.5%2829.60.95×
M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)weapon · covert16.0%$69.49 107 gems3.3%9178.91.15×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade16.0%$32.85 50.54 gems1.6%7578.90.95×
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted26.0%$8.14 12.52 gems0.6%133128.21.04×
Sticker | Gold Web (Foil)sticker · #d32ce626.0%$1.63 2.5 gems0.1%127128.20.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New)other⭕⃤ katal #brokemouse$372573 gems$12K18,450 gems32.21x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New)otherxCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97$372573 gems$12K18,450 gems32.21x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New)other$372573 gems$12K18,450 gems32.21x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$372573 gems$7,71011,861 gems20.71x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$372573 gems$7,71011,861 gems20.71x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$372573 gems$7,71011,861 gems20.71x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$372573 gems$7,71011,861 gems20.71x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$372573 gems$7,71011,861 gems20.71x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Knives$372573 gems$4,3096,629 gems11.57x
★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Knives$372573 gems$4,3096,629 gems11.57x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Gold Web (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6$372573 gems$1.632.5 gems0.00x
M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)weapon · covert$372573 gems$69.49107 gems0.19x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$372573 gems$32.8550.54 gems0.09x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$372573 gems$32.8550.54 gems0.09x
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted$372573 gems$8.1412.52 gems0.02x
Sticker | Gold Web (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6Hydrarewards.com$372573 gems$1.632.5 gems0.00x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$372573 gems$32.8550.54 gems0.09x
G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New)weapon · restricted$372573 gems$137211 gems0.37x
Sticker | Gold Web (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6$372573 gems$1.632.5 gems0.00x
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted$372573 gems$8.1412.52 gems0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$37290.00%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 1.0%covert 23.0%Knives 1.0%Covert 1.0%restricted 32.0%Mil Spec Grade 16.0%#d32ce6 26.0%best hit $12K (32.21x)