Pinnacle
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$15.44
23.76 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $13.89 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.37%
4,926 openings, odds method
Variance
22.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,046 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700✪KillaBerg69$15.4423.76 gems$1,3612,094 gems88.14x
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon$15.4423.76 gems$2.103.23 gems0.14x
Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred)weapon · commonVytiokas$15.4423.76 gems$0.380.58 gems0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $15.44 | 89.97% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 10.0%#ffd700 0.2%Sticker 0.4%covert 1.4%violet 2.0%restricted 3.0%classified 5.0%#eb4b4b 5.0%Rare 8.0%uncommon 20.0%common 45.0%best hit $1,361 (88.14x)