Pitstop

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$23.69
36.44 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $21.32 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.16%
801 openings, odds method
Variance
7.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 29
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
70 openings · below min
7 days
79.83%±20.60713 openings
30 days
86.16%±19.44801 openings
since tracking started
86.16%±19.44801 openings
-0.5%60.3%121.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7054.72%±65.7—odds
7d71379.83%±20.6−1.0σodds
30d80186.16%±19.4−0.4σodds
All80186.16%±19.4−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 801 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$615 946 gems14.4%54.01.25×
★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$362 558 gems17.0%88.01.00×
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary1 in 50$215 330 gems20.1%1016.00.62×
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 33$107 165 gems15.1%3124.01.29×
Desert Eagle | Pilot (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 33$92.43 142 gems13.0%1524.00.62×
MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 20$38.35 59 gems9.0%4540.11.12×
USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 18$36.28 55.82 gems9.4%4044.10.91×
Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff10.0%$1.23 1.89 gems0.6%8580.11.06×
UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff10.0%$1.09 1.67 gems0.5%7280.10.90×
Sticker | Boost (Holo)sticker · Mythical10.0%$0.95 1.46 gems0.4%8180.11.01×
Music Kit | Matt Levine, Driftermusic kit · High Grade10.0%$0.77 1.19 gems0.4%8680.11.07×
Sticker | Speedy Tsticker · high20.0%$0.11 0.17 gems0.1%154160.20.96×
Sticker | Arms Racesticker · Rare20.0%<$0.01 0.01 gems0.0%169160.21.05×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Music Kit | Matt Levine, Driftermusic kit · High Grade$23.6936.44 gems$0.771.19 gems0.03x
MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$23.6936.44 gems$38.3559 gems1.62x
Sticker | Speedy Tsticker · highDaxo$23.6936.44 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
Music Kit | Matt Levine, Driftermusic kit · High Grade$23.6936.44 gems$0.771.19 gems0.03x
MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$23.6936.44 gems$38.3559 gems1.62x
UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff$23.6936.44 gems$1.091.67 gems0.05x
UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff$23.6936.44 gems$1.091.67 gems0.05x
Sticker | Boost (Holo)sticker · Mythical$23.6936.44 gems$0.951.46 gems0.04x
Sticker | Arms Racesticker · Rarewoodsnatch22$23.6936.44 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | Boost (Holo)sticker · Mythical$23.6936.44 gems$0.951.46 gems0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC$23.6990.00%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 4.5%Extraordinary 2.0%restricted 8.5%mil spec 5.0%#4b69ff 20.0%Mythical 10.0%High Grade 10.0%high 20.0%Rare 20.0%best hit $615 (25.97x)