Private Jet
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.23
15.74 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $9.20 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.26%
10.8K openings, odds method
Variance
38.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $629 968 gems | 68.4% | 131 | 109.2 | 1.20× |
| AK-47 | First Class (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $80.24 123 gems | 8.7% | 107 | 109.2 | 0.98× |
| Desert Eagle | Pilot (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $57.14 87.9 gems | 6.2% | 115 | 109.2 | 1.05× |
| SCAR-20 | Brass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 100 | $49.48 76.12 gems | 5.4% | 104 | 109.2 | 0.95× |
| USP-S | Business Class (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 100 | $30.54 46.98 gems | 3.3% | 105 | 109.2 | 0.96× |
| P2000 | Coach Class (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 100 | $8.63 13.28 gems | 0.9% | 102 | 109.2 | 0.93× |
| P90 | Leather (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 1 in 100 | $4.36 6.71 gems | 0.5% | 101 | 109.2 | 0.93× |
| CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 45.0% | $1.09 1.67 gems | 5.3% | 4,934 | 4912.7 | 1.00× |
| MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon | 48.0% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 1.3% | 5,218 | 5240.2 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $10.23 | 89.97% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 1.0%restricted 2.0%mil spec 47.0%industrial 2.0%Uncommon 48.0%best hit $629 (61.52x)