Prowler

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.76
7.32 gems
Advertised RTP
89.89%
EV $4.28 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.01%
17.3K openings, odds method
Variance
32.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
103.92%±23.982,164 openings
7 days
95.75%±9.1015K openings
30 days
94.01%±8.4917.3K openings
since tracking started
94.01%±8.4917.3K openings
79.5%104.0%128.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,164103.92%±24.0+1.1σodds
7d15K95.75%±9.10+1.3σodds
30d17.3K94.01%±8.49+1.0σodds
All17.3K94.01%±8.49+1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,000$554 852 gems13.0%1917.91.06×
★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 1,000$453 697 gems10.6%2117.91.17×
★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 1,000$258 397 gems6.0%1717.90.95×
★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 500$155 239 gems7.3%4535.91.25×
★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 500$143 219 gems6.7%3535.90.98×
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 333$107 165 gems7.5%5553.81.02×
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$62.87 96.72 gems7.3%10589.71.17×
★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Field-Tested)gloves · gold1 in 100$42.02 64.64 gems9.8%184179.51.03×
Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 67$24.58 37.81 gems8.6%256269.20.95×
USP-S | Para Green (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 50$10.81 16.63 gems5.1%361359.01.01×
CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · gray94.0%$0.83 1.27 gems18.1%16,85016871.11.00×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · gray$4.767.32 gems$0.831.27 gems0.17x
CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · gray$4.767.32 gems$0.831.27 gems0.17x
CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · gray$4.767.32 gems$0.831.27 gems0.17x
Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$4.767.32 gems$24.5837.81 gems5.17x
CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · gray$4.767.32 gems$0.831.27 gems0.17x
CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · gray$4.767.32 gems$0.831.27 gems0.17x
CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)weapon · gray$4.767.32 gems$0.831.27 gems0.17x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.89%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$4.7689.89%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.3%Covert 0.2%epic 0.2%covert knife 0.3%extraordinary 0.5%gold 1.0%classified 1.5%industrial 2.0%gray 94.0%best hit $554 (116.4x)