Rage
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$96.14
148 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $86.53 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
68.70%
137 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 143 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $805 1,238 gems | 9.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| ★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 50 | $430 662 gems | 9.9% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.75× |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 25 | $330 508 gems | 15.3% | 8 | 5.7 | 1.40× |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 17 | $214 330 gems | 14.9% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× |
| ★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 13 | $185 285 gems | 17.1% | 9 | 11.4 | 0.79× |
| ★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 10.0% | $125 192 gems | 14.4% | 14 | 14.3 | 0.98× |
| ★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 12.0% | $120 185 gems | 16.7% | 9 | 17.2 | 0.52× |
| Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)weapon · covert | 27.0% | $6.58 10.12 gems | 2.1% | 45 | 38.6 | 1.17× |
| Sticker | Into The Breach (Glitter) | Paris 2023sticker · Mythical | 30.0% | $0.80 1.23 gems | 0.3% | 45 | 42.9 | 1.05× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Into The Breach (Glitter) | Paris 2023sticker · MythicalSleepy Jackalope$96.14148 gems$0.801.23 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $96.14 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 66.0%extraordinary 4.0%Mythical 30.0%best hit —