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Rat Pack

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.93
4.51 gems
Advertised RTP
89.82%
EV $2.63 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.18%
3,136 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
40.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
92.34%±7.19412 openings
7 days
91.10%±2.822,674 openings
30 days
90.18%±2.613,136 openings
since tracking started
90.18%±2.613,136 openings
84.5%92.3%100.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h41292.34%±7.19+0.7σodds
7d2,67491.10%±2.82+0.9σodds
30d3,13690.18%±2.61+0.3σodds
All3,13690.18%±2.61+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,175 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted30.0%$5.10 7.84 gems58.1%963952.51.01×
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert30.0%$3.61 5.55 gems41.1%953952.51.00×
Souvenir MP5-SD | Lab Rats (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mythical20.0%$0.08 0.13 gems0.6%633635.01.00×
Sticker | Rat Packsticker · High Grade20.0%$0.03 0.04 gems0.2%626635.00.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2.934.51 gems$3.615.55 gems1.23x
Souvenir MP5-SD | Lab Rats (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mythical$2.934.51 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted$2.934.51 gems$5.107.84 gems1.74x
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertSjefen sjøl$2.934.51 gems$3.615.55 gems1.23x
Souvenir MP5-SD | Lab Rats (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mythical$2.934.51 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2.934.51 gems$3.615.55 gems1.23x
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted$2.934.51 gems$5.107.84 gems1.74x
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New)weapon · restrictedSjefen sjøl$2.934.51 gems$5.107.84 gems1.74x
Sticker | Rat Packsticker · High Grade$2.934.51 gems$0.030.04 gems0.01x
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Factory New)weapon · restricted$2.934.51 gems$5.107.84 gems1.74x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.82%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$2.9389.82%4
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 30.0%covert 30.0%Mythical 20.0%High Grade 20.0%best hit —