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Red Line Roll

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$47.85
73.61 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $43.06 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.88%
130 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
48 openings · below min
7 days
92.47%±22.74104 openings
30 days
84.88%±20.34130 openings
since tracking started
84.88%±20.34130 openings
64.0%101.5%139.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h48104.93%±33.5—odds
7d10492.47%±22.7+0.2σodds
30d13084.88%±20.3−0.5σodds
All13084.88%±20.3−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 132 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified10.0%$188 289 gems43.6%1513.21.14×
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified10.0%$101 155 gems23.4%1013.20.76×
AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified10.0%$47.16 72.56 gems11.0%1413.21.06×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified10.0%$39.46 60.71 gems9.2%1113.20.83×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified10.0%$31.86 49.02 gems7.4%1013.20.76×
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified10.0%$18.75 28.85 gems4.4%1313.20.98×
P250 | Red Tideweapon · blue40.0%$1.19 1.83 gems1.1%5952.81.12×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$47.8573.61 gems$188289 gems3.93x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$47.8573.61 gems$18.7528.85 gems0.39x
AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$47.8573.61 gems$47.1672.56 gems0.99x
P250 | Red Tideweapon · blue$47.8573.61 gems$1.191.83 gems0.02x
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$47.8573.61 gems$101155 gems2.11x
P250 | Red Tideweapon · blueEnergetic Lion$47.8573.61 gems$1.191.83 gems0.02x
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$47.8573.61 gems$18.7528.85 gems0.39x
P250 | Red Tideweapon · blue$47.8573.61 gems$1.191.83 gems0.02x
AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$47.8573.61 gems$47.1672.56 gems0.99x
P250 | Red Tideweapon · blue$47.8573.61 gems$1.191.83 gems0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$47.8590.00%7
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 50.0%Classified 10.0%blue 40.0%best hit —