Requiem Case
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$32.41
49.86 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $29.17 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.08%
1,535 openings, odds method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,549 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 200 | $802 1,234 gems | 13.8% | 3 | 7.7 | 0.39× |
| M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert | 1 in 67 | $404 622 gems | 20.8% | 21 | 23.2 | 0.90× |
| SSG 08 | Death Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $237 365 gems | 24.4% | 40 | 46.5 | 0.86× |
| FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $66.53 102 gems | 11.4% | 80 | 77.5 | 1.03× |
| P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 10.0% | $28.05 43.15 gems | 9.6% | 178 | 154.9 | 1.15× |
| MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue | 20.0% | $19.25 29.62 gems | 13.2% | 318 | 309.8 | 1.03× |
| PP-Bizon | Antique (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $8.29 12.76 gems | 5.7% | 305 | 309.8 | 0.98× |
| R8 Revolver | Night (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade | 20.0% | $1.57 2.42 gems | 1.1% | 307 | 309.8 | 0.99× |
| Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon | 20.0% | $0.12 0.18 gems | 0.1% | 297 | 309.8 | 0.96× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary_SnikyPiky_$32.4149.86 gems$8021,234 gems24.75x
Latest dropsnewest first
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon[MLP] Pinkie Pie$32.4149.86 gems$0.120.18 gems0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.41 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.5%Covert 1.5%classified 8.0%industrial 10.0%blue 20.0%restricted 20.0%Consumer Grade 20.0%Uncommon 20.0%best hit $802 (24.75x)