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Romix Case

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$99.01
152 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $89.11 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
109.94%
2,383 openings, odds method
Variance
82.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 137
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
276 openings · below min
7 days
110.68%±38.882,106 openings
30 days
109.94%±36.552,383 openings
since tracking started
109.94%±36.552,383 openings
-0.5%97.0%194.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h27686.47%±107.4—odds
7d2,106110.68%±38.9+1.0σodds
30d2,383109.94%±36.5+1.1σodds
All2,383109.94%±36.5+1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,464 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Blue Gem) (Factory New)knife1 in 50,000$137K 210,000 gems3.1%00.0—
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 5,000$26K 40,000 gems5.8%10.5—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband1 in 5,000$17.2K 26,400 gems3.9%10.5—
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 667$10K 15,421 gems16.9%83.72.16×
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary1 in 667$6,435 9,901 gems10.8%23.70.54×
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 258$2,418 3,720 gems10.5%89.60.84×
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 143$1,127 1,734 gems8.9%1817.21.04×
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Cologne 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 77$591 910 gems8.6%2632.00.81×
UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 67$385 592 gems6.5%3337.00.89×
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 29$207 319 gems7.9%10383.81.23×
Sticker | Flipsid3 Tactics (Foil) | Atlanta 2017sticker · Exotic1 in 17$86.37 133 gems5.8%153147.81.03×
Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New)weapon · restricted12.0%$47.89 73.68 gems6.4%273295.70.92×
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted15.0%$26.47 40.73 gems4.5%385369.61.04×
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec59.4%$0.63 0.97 gems0.4%1,4531462.90.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$99.01152 gems$26K40,000 gems262.6x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$99.01152 gems$17.2K26,400 gems173.3x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$99.01152 gems$10K15,421 gems101.2x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Flipsid3 Tactics (Foil) | Atlanta 2017sticker · Exotic$99.01152 gems$86.37133 gems0.87x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$99.01152 gems$0.630.97 gems0.01x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$99.01152 gems$0.630.97 gems0.01x
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$99.01152 gems$26.4740.73 gems0.27x
Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New)weapon · restricted$99.01152 gems$47.8973.68 gems0.48x
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedMpiXelss$99.01152 gems$26.4740.73 gems0.27x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$99.01152 gems$0.630.97 gems0.01x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$99.01152 gems$0.630.97 gems0.01x
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$99.01152 gems$26.4740.73 gems0.27x
Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified$99.01152 gems$207319 gems2.09x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$99.0190.00%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 0.0%remarkable 1.3%contraband 0.0%covert 1.2%legendary 0.1%classified 4.9%Exotic 6.0%restricted 27.0%mil spec 59.4%best hit $26K (262.6x)