Price
$25.13
38.66 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
345.31%
814 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 814 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New)weapon$25.1338.66 gems$55.3K85,000 gems2,199x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$25.1338.66 gems$1,0241,576 gems40.77x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$25.1338.66 gems$1,0241,576 gems40.77x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · ClassifiedWallet$25.1338.66 gems$1,0241,576 gems40.77x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$25.1338.66 gems$1,0241,576 gems40.77x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$25.1338.66 gems$1,0241,576 gems40.77x
Latest dropsnewest first
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden (Factory New)weapon · Consumer GradeEde1weiss$25.1338.66 gems$1.231.9 gems0.05x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $55.3K (2,199x)