ROOTS
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$33.08
50.89 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $29.77 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.94%
1,205 openings, odds method
Variance
7.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,223 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $562 865 gems | 47.2% | 32 | 30.6 | 1.05× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $147 227 gems | 12.4% | 28 | 30.6 | 0.92× |
| MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 40 | $74.67 115 gems | 6.3% | 33 | 30.6 | 1.08× |
| AK-47 | First Class (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 1 in 40 | $45.32 69.72 gems | 3.8% | 27 | 30.6 | 0.88× |
| Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New)weapon · classified | 12.5% | $28.08 43.2 gems | 11.8% | 158 | 152.9 | 1.03× |
| USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New)weapon · classified | 12.5% | $21.44 32.99 gems | 9.0% | 177 | 152.9 | 1.16× |
| AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 12.5% | $10.76 16.56 gems | 4.5% | 151 | 152.9 | 0.99× |
| MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 12.5% | $4.88 7.51 gems | 2.0% | 126 | 152.9 | 0.82× |
| Tec-9 | Ossified (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff | 20.0% | $2.71 4.17 gems | 1.8% | 239 | 244.6 | 0.98× |
| P90 | Virus (Factory New)weapon · violet | 20.0% | $1.70 2.61 gems | 1.1% | 252 | 244.6 | 1.03× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)gloves · extraordinarySleepy Jackalope$33.0850.89 gems$562865 gems17.00x
★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryLukii$33.0850.89 gems$562865 gems17.00x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $33.08 | 89.99% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 5.0%mil spec 27.5%restricted 2.5%classified 25.0%#4b69ff 20.0%violet 20.0%best hit $562 (17.00x)