Ruby Beauty

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price

$446.82

687 gems

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $402.13 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

62.78%

219 openings, odds method

Variance

7.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 28

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

91.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

10 openings · below min

7 days

54.91%±38.16203 openings

30 days

62.78%±36.74219 openings

since tracking started

62.78%±36.74219 openings

-0.5%102.5%205.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	10	32.73%±171.9	—	odds
7d	203	54.91%±38.2	−1.8σ	odds
30d	219	62.78%±36.7	−1.5σ	odds
All	219	62.78%±36.7	−1.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 219 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$9,588 14,750 gems	16.9%	1	1.6	0.64×
★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$8,450 13,000 gems	14.9%	0	1.6	0.00×
★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$7,085 10,900 gems	12.5%	0	1.6	0.00×
★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$2,778 4,274 gems	4.9%	1	1.6	0.64×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$2,100 3,230 gems	3.7%	2	1.6	1.29×
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$1,780 2,738 gems	3.1%	1	1.6	0.64×
★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$1,691 2,601 gems	3.0%	2	1.6	1.29×
★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$1,372 2,110 gems	2.4%	2	1.6	1.29×
★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$1,040 1,600 gems	1.8%	4	1.6	2.57×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$926 1,425 gems	1.6%	2	1.6	1.29×
★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$735 1,130 gems	1.3%	2	1.6	1.29×
★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$553 850 gems	1.0%	2	1.6	1.29×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$390 600 gems	0.7%	0	1.6	0.00×
★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 141	$325 500 gems	0.6%	0	1.6	0.00×
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	22.5%	$157 241 gems	8.8%	58	49.3	1.18×
★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	22.5%	$144 222 gems	8.1%	44	49.3	0.89×
★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	22.5%	$139 213 gems	7.8%	58	49.3	1.18×
★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested)gloves · Extraordinary	22.6%	$123 189 gems	6.9%	40	49.4	0.81×

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$9,58814,750 gems21.46x7d

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$2,7784,274 gems6.22x1d

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$2,1003,230 gems4.70x1d

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyLive @ Kick/JaekCreates$447687 gems$2,1003,230 gems4.70x1d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$1,7802,738 gems3.98x1d

★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyLive @ Kick/JaekCreates$447687 gems$1,6912,601 gems3.78x3d

★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$1,6912,601 gems3.78x5d

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$1,3722,110 gems3.07x1d

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$1,3722,110 gems3.07x6d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$447687 gems$1,0401,600 gems2.33x1d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$447687 gems$157241 gems0.35x8h

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$447687 gems$139213 gems0.31x8h

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$447687 gems$144222 gems0.32x8h

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$447687 gems$139213 gems0.31x8h

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$447687 gems$144222 gems0.32x8h

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$447687 gems$157241 gems0.35x8h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC	$447	90.00%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 9.9%extraordinary 67.5%Extraordinary 22.6%best hit $9,588 (21.46x)