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Rush B

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$14.16
21.78 gems
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $12.74 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.42%
2,910 openings, odds method
Variance
12.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
122.93%±35.30393 openings
7 days
92.60%±14.592,302 openings
30 days
90.42%±12.972,910 openings
since tracking started
90.42%±12.972,910 openings
77.0%118.0%159.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h393122.93%±35.3+1.8σodds
7d2,30292.60%±14.6+0.4σodds
30d2,91090.42%±13.0+0.1σodds
All2,91090.42%±13.0+0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,018 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
MP7 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$299 460 gems23.5%3930.21.29×
P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 100$260 400 gems20.4%2630.20.86×
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$225 346 gems17.6%2430.20.80×
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$188 289 gems14.7%2530.20.83×
PP-Bizon | Modern Hunter (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 100$169 260 gems13.3%3730.21.23×
P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #eb4b4b10.0%$4.41 6.79 gems3.5%307301.81.02×
P90 | Attack Vector (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff10.0%$3.46 5.33 gems2.7%284301.80.94×
MAC-10 | Toybox (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee615.0%$2.08 3.2 gems2.4%461452.71.02×
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec20.0%$0.79 1.22 gems1.2%635603.61.05×
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade20.0%$0.31 0.48 gems0.5%580603.60.96×
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d920.0%$0.05 0.08 gems0.1%600603.60.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MAC-10 | Toybox (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6$14.1621.78 gems$2.083.2 gems0.15x
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec$14.1621.78 gems$0.791.22 gems0.06x
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$14.1621.78 gems$0.310.48 gems0.02x
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec$14.1621.78 gems$0.791.22 gems0.06x
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$14.1621.78 gems$0.310.48 gems0.02x
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Gradesmiffingtable$14.1621.78 gems$0.310.48 gems0.02x
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d9$14.1621.78 gems$0.050.08 gems0.00x
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$14.1621.78 gems$0.310.48 gems0.02x
P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #eb4b4b$14.1621.78 gems$4.416.79 gems0.31x
MAC-10 | Toybox (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6$14.1621.78 gems$2.083.2 gems0.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 01:59 UTC$14.1689.96%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 2.0%restricted 1.0%classified 2.0%#eb4b4b 10.0%#8847ff 10.0%#d32ee6 15.0%milspec 20.0%Industrial Grade 20.0%#5e98d9 20.0%best hit —