Salt n' Pepper
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$18.75
28.84 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $16.87 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.05%
3,309 openings, odds method
Variance
12.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 37
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,351 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knifeHydra Sharp$18.7528.84 gems$9231,420 gems49.24x
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife$18.7528.84 gems$9231,420 gems49.24x
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife$18.7528.84 gems$9231,420 gems49.24x
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knifeBAAAAEEEEEEEZZZ$18.7528.84 gems$9231,420 gems49.24x
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife$18.7528.84 gems$9231,420 gems49.24x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $18.75 | 89.98% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 0.1%extraordinary 0.8%epic 0.7%other 3.2%sunny 2.3%covert 3.0%#8847ff 15.0%remarkable 20.0%Restricted 25.0%uncommon 30.0%best hit $923 (49.24x)