Sand Storm
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.20
21.85 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $12.78 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.63%
649 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 651 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $36.00 55.38 gems | 56.3% | 128 | 130.2 | 0.98× |
| SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 20.0% | $24.90 38.3 gems | 39.0% | 127 | 130.2 | 0.98× |
| Galil AR | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 30.0% | $1.28 1.97 gems | 3.0% | 209 | 195.3 | 1.07× |
| Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 30.0% | $0.72 1.11 gems | 1.7% | 187 | 195.3 | 0.96× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Factory New)weapon · consumerMafumafu 100% real$14.2021.85 gems$24.9038.3 gems1.75x
Galil AR | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Gradethegamblingbandits.com$14.2021.85 gems$1.281.97 gems0.09x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $14.20 | 89.98% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 20.0%consumer 20.0%Mil Spec Grade 30.0%mil spec 30.0%best hit —