Sealed Dead Hand Terminal
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$22.43
34.51 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $20.19 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.55%
4,928 openings, odds method
Variance
80.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 222
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,044 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New)gloves · legendary$22.4334.51 gems$6,0459,300 gems269.5x
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New)gloves · legendary$22.4334.51 gems$6,0459,300 gems269.5x
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New)gloves · legendary$22.4334.51 gems$6,0459,300 gems269.5x
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New)gloves · legendaryRayan 肖恩$22.4334.51 gems$6,0459,300 gems269.5x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Factory New)gloves · legendary$22.4334.51 gems$3,1954,915 gems142.4x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Factory New)gloves · legendary$22.4334.51 gems$3,1954,915 gems142.4x
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Factory New)gloves · legendary$22.4334.51 gems$1,6062,471 gems71.61x
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Factory New)gloves · legendaryThomas the termonuclear bomb$22.4334.51 gems$1,6062,471 gems71.61x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $22.43 | 89.99% | 39 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 5.0%legendary 1.0%#eb4b4b 0.4%Ancient 0.3%Legendary 1.3%pink 1.0%Mythical 6.0%uncommon 5.0%violet 10.0%Rare 10.0%blue 30.0%milspec 20.0%#4b69ff 10.0%best hit $6,045 (269.5x)