Sealed Genesis Terminal

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.56
8.55 gems
Advertised RTP
89.91%
EV $5.00 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.98%
5,295 openings, odds method
Variance
17.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
117.06%±32.27629 openings
7 days
85.63%±12.584,136 openings
30 days
88.98%±11.125,295 openings
since tracking started
88.98%±11.125,295 openings
72.5%111.3%150.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h629117.06%±32.3+1.6σodds
7d4,13685.63%±12.6−0.7σodds
30d5,29588.98%±11.1−0.2σodds
All5,29588.98%±11.1−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,322 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New)weapon · red1 in 100$185 284 gems36.9%5053.20.94×
M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New)weapon · epic1 in 100$140 216 gems28.0%5553.21.03×
AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 100$20.71 31.86 gems4.1%5553.21.03×
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 100$18.49 28.44 gems3.7%6153.21.15×
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 100$18.08 27.81 gems3.6%4853.20.90×
M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 20$6.81 10.48 gems6.8%269266.11.01×
MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 20$2.33 3.59 gems2.3%265266.11.00×
Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 20$2.29 3.53 gems2.3%244266.10.92×
Nova | Ocular (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 20$2.29 3.52 gems2.3%265266.11.00×
UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 20$2.18 3.36 gems2.2%302266.11.13×
P250 | Bullfrog (Factory New)weapon · blue10.0%$0.58 0.89 gems1.2%503532.20.95×
MP5-SD | Focus (Factory New)weapon · blue10.0%$0.57 0.87 gems1.1%533532.21.00×
AUG | Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff10.0%$0.55 0.85 gems1.1%551532.21.04×
P2000 | Red Wing (Factory New)weapon · blue10.0%$0.54 0.83 gems1.1%537532.21.01×
SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New)weapon · blue10.0%$0.54 0.83 gems1.1%518532.20.97×
MP9 | Broken Record (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff10.0%$0.53 0.81 gems1.1%510532.20.96×
MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New)weapon · blue10.0%$0.51 0.79 gems1.0%556532.21.04×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff$5.568.55 gems$2.183.36 gems0.39x
Nova | Ocular (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff$5.568.55 gems$2.293.52 gems0.41x
MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New)weapon · blue$5.568.55 gems$0.510.79 gems0.09x
P250 | Bullfrog (Factory New)weapon · blue$5.568.55 gems$0.580.89 gems0.10x
MP5-SD | Focus (Factory New)weapon · blue$5.568.55 gems$0.570.87 gems0.10x
P2000 | Red Wing (Factory New)weapon · bluecolin$5.568.55 gems$0.540.83 gems0.10x
UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff$5.568.55 gems$2.183.36 gems0.39x
M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$5.568.55 gems$6.8110.48 gems1.23x
UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff$5.568.55 gems$2.183.36 gems0.39x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$5.5689.91%17
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedred 1.0%epic 1.0%pink 1.0%rare 2.0%Mythical 10.0%violet 5.0%#8847ff 10.0%blue 50.0%#4b69ff 20.0%best hit —