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Snow Caps

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$40.40
62.15 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $36.36 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.09%
1,374 openings, odds method
Variance
15.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
211 openings · below min
7 days
93.29%±23.261,079 openings
30 days
89.09%±20.611,374 openings
since tracking started
89.09%±20.611,374 openings
41.0%94.3%147.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h21194.43%±52.6—odds
7d1,07993.29%±23.3+0.3σodds
30d1,37489.09%±20.6−0.1σodds
All1,37489.09%±20.6−0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,383 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 100$1,435 2,208 gems39.5%1613.81.16×
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$548 843 gems15.1%1313.80.94×
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny1 in 100$260 401 gems7.2%1613.81.16×
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 50$214 330 gems11.8%1727.70.61×
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 50$175 269 gems9.6%2027.70.72×
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 33$73.12 112 gems6.0%4741.51.13×
G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 20$52.96 81.48 gems7.3%5469.20.78×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 20$15.12 23.26 gems2.1%7069.21.01×
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 20$5.07 7.8 gems0.7%8069.21.16×
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted10.0%$1.59 2.45 gems0.4%130138.30.94×
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted10.0%$0.68 1.05 gems0.2%146138.31.06×
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · Rare55.0%$0.11 0.17 gems0.2%774760.71.02×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendaryle johnson$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendaryThomas the termonuclear bomb$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New)gloves · legendary$40.4062.15 gems$1,4352,208 gems35.52x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$40.4062.15 gems$1.592.45 gems0.04x
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$40.4062.15 gems$15.1223.26 gems0.37x
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · Rare$40.4062.15 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · Rare$40.4062.15 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted$40.4062.15 gems$0.681.05 gems0.02x
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · RareTrecky$40.4062.15 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · Rare$40.4062.15 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · Rare$40.4062.15 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · Rare$40.4062.15 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
M249 | Spectre (Factory New)weapon · Rare$40.4062.15 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$40.4090.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 1.0%extraordinary 5.0%sunny 1.0%Industrial Grade 3.0%industrial 5.0%classified 5.0%restricted 25.0%Rare 55.0%best hit $1,435 (35.52x)