Snow Storm
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$69.79
107 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $62.81 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.46%
427 openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 435 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny | 10.0% | $447 687 gems | 71.1% | 38 | 43.5 | 0.87× |
| M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade | 10.0% | $78.62 121 gems | 12.5% | 49 | 43.5 | 1.13× |
| ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife | 10.0% | $76.17 117 gems | 12.1% | 33 | 43.5 | 0.76× |
| AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 33 | $28.84 44.37 gems | 1.4% | 12 | 13.0 | 0.92× |
| AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $24.70 38 gems | 0.8% | 7 | 8.7 | 0.80× |
| AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 30.0% | $3.56 5.47 gems | 1.7% | 129 | 130.5 | 0.99× |
| UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 35.0% | $0.72 1.1 gems | 0.4% | 167 | 152.3 | 1.10× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted[MLP] Pinkie Pie$69.79107 gems$0.721.1 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $69.79 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 10.0%Industrial Grade 10.0%covert knife 10.0%Legendary 3.0%covert 2.0%restricted 65.0%best hit —