Solar Power
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.77
11.95 gems
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $6.99 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.99%
1,829 openings, odds method
Variance
4.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,842 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $152 234 gems | 21.7% | 18 | 18.4 | 0.98× |
| Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 14.0% | $13.68 21.05 gems | 27.4% | 262 | 257.9 | 1.02× |
| AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $12.87 19.8 gems | 27.6% | 296 | 276.3 | 1.07× |
| USP-S | Para Green (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 10.0% | $6.03 9.28 gems | 8.6% | 189 | 184.2 | 1.03× |
| Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $5.10 7.84 gems | 3.6% | 102 | 92.1 | 1.11× |
| P90 | Scorched (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 15.0% | $1.44 2.22 gems | 3.1% | 267 | 276.3 | 0.97× |
| MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $1.41 2.17 gems | 4.0% | 348 | 368.4 | 0.94× |
| MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $1.33 2.04 gems | 3.8% | 360 | 368.4 | 0.98× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $7.77 | 89.96% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 41.0%classified 19.0%industrial 25.0%consumer 15.0%best hit —