Stars & Stripes
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$19.08
29.36 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $17.17 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.55%
914 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 954 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 20 | $138 212 gems | 40.1% | 62 | 47.7 | 1.30× |
| MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $49.95 76.84 gems | 14.5% | 42 | 47.7 | 0.88× |
| M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $17.09 26.29 gems | 10.0% | 96 | 95.4 | 1.01× |
| SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $12.36 19.01 gems | 14.4% | 200 | 190.8 | 1.05× |
| FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6 | 20.0% | $8.08 12.43 gems | 9.4% | 172 | 190.8 | 0.90× |
| Galil AR | Eco (Well-Worn)weapon · pink | 20.0% | $6.45 9.92 gems | 7.5% | 188 | 190.8 | 0.99× |
| Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested)weapon · pink | 20.0% | $3.50 5.39 gems | 4.1% | 194 | 190.8 | 1.02× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $19.08 | 89.99% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedMythical 5.0%covert 5.0%restricted 10.0%mil spec 20.0%#d32ee6 20.0%pink 40.0%best hit —