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StatTrak JUICER

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.05
17 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $9.94 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.84%
1,320 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
77.44%±21.77197 openings
7 days
90.33%±9.621,009 openings
30 days
90.84%±8.411,320 openings
since tracking started
90.84%±8.411,320 openings
55.0%77.8%100.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h19777.44%±21.8−1.1σodds
7d1,00990.33%±9.62+0.1σodds
30d1,32090.84%±8.41+0.2σodds
All1,32090.84%±8.41+0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,320 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 1,000$293 451 gems2.9%31.32.27×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 250$183 282 gems7.4%55.30.95×
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 40$35.81 55.09 gems9.0%3233.00.97×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 14$32.95 50.69 gems23.2%7792.40.83×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert15.0%$18.25 28.08 gems27.5%211198.01.07×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert15.0%$8.66 13.33 gems13.1%198198.01.00×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary15.0%$5.40 8.3 gems8.1%195198.00.98×
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee615.0%$2.04 3.14 gems3.1%180198.00.91×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted15.0%$2.00 3.07 gems3.0%220198.01.11×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted15.0%$1.74 2.68 gems2.6%199198.01.00×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.0517 gems$2.003.07 gems0.18x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$11.0517 gems$8.6613.33 gems0.78x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.0517 gems$2.003.07 gems0.18x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$11.0517 gems$5.408.3 gems0.49x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$11.0517 gems$18.2528.08 gems1.65x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertMrChow$11.0517 gems$8.6613.33 gems0.78x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.0517 gems$1.742.68 gems0.16x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$11.0517 gems$5.408.3 gems0.49x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$11.0517 gems$8.6613.33 gems0.78x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.0517 gems$1.742.68 gems0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$11.0589.97%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 37.5%classified 2.5%Legendary 15.0%#d32ee6 15.0%restricted 30.0%best hit —