sticker 15%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$76.23
117 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.60%
374 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
10 openings · below min
7 days
300 openings · below min
30 days
374 openings · below min
since tracking started
374 openings · below min
-0.5%121.3%243.0%

Small sample. 374 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10104.19%±138.1—sample
7d30079.48%±27.8—sample
30d37488.60%±28.0—sample
All37488.60%±28.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$76.23117 gems$1,3912,141 gems18.25x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$76.23117 gems$1,3912,141 gems18.25x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$76.23117 gems$1,3912,141 gems18.25x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$76.23117 gems$9181,413 gems12.05x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$76.23117 gems$9181,413 gems12.05x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$76.23117 gems$9181,413 gems12.05x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$76.23117 gems$9181,413 gems12.05x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contrabandJeffrey$76.23117 gems$9181,413 gems12.05x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$76.23117 gems$9181,413 gems12.05x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014sticker · high$76.23117 gems$458705 gems6.01x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · Rare$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · Rare$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · RareHayzeusC$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · Rare$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · Rare$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2015sticker · remarkable$76.23117 gems$336516 gems4.40x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · Rare$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · Rare$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x
Sticker | Noodlessticker · Rarehe$76.23117 gems$0.030.05 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,391 (18.25x)