Sticker Sheet
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.62
0.96 gems
Advertised RTP
89.48%
EV $0.56 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.11%
27.6K openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Ruby Wave (Lenticular)sticker · #eb4b4b | 1 in 50 | $6.19 9.52 gems | 22.2% | 612 | 562.9 | 1.09× |
| Sticker | Side Eyes (Lenticular)sticker · extraordinary | 1 in 50 | $3.61 5.56 gems | 12.9% | 557 | 562.9 | 0.99× |
| Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo)sticker · #8847ff | 1 in 33 | $2.20 3.38 gems | 11.8% | 851 | 844.4 | 1.01× |
| Sticker | Bolt Charge (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6 | 1 in 33 | $1.92 2.95 gems | 10.3% | 829 | 844.4 | 0.98× |
| Sticker | Winding Scorch (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6 | 1 in 33 | $1.38 2.13 gems | 7.4% | 818 | 844.4 | 0.97× |
| Sticker | Red Shades (Foil)sticker · #d32ce6 | 1 in 25 | $1.16 1.78 gems | 8.3% | 1,084 | 1125.9 | 0.96× |
| Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter)sticker · #8847ff | 1 in 25 | $0.92 1.41 gems | 6.6% | 1,099 | 1125.9 | 0.98× |
| Sticker | High Heatsticker · blue | 1 in 20 | $0.71 1.09 gems | 6.3% | 1,412 | 1407.4 | 1.00× |
| Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo)sticker · common | 1 in 20 | $0.34 0.53 gems | 3.1% | 1,440 | 1407.4 | 1.02× |
| Sticker | Blinkysticker · #4b69ff | 1 in 20 | $0.20 0.3 gems | 1.7% | 1,435 | 1407.4 | 1.02× |
| Sticker | Clown Wigsticker · #4b69ff | 1 in 13 | $0.18 0.28 gems | 2.6% | 2,172 | 2251.8 | 0.96× |
| Sticker | Boom Trail (Glitter)sticker · #8847ff | 1 in 13 | $0.12 0.19 gems | 1.8% | 2,261 | 2251.8 | 1.00× |
| Sticker | Hot Rod Heatsticker · #4b69ff | 10.0% | $0.10 0.15 gems | 1.7% | 2,801 | 2814.7 | 1.00× |
| Sticker | Strike A Posesticker · #4b69ff | 10.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 1.3% | 2,833 | 2814.7 | 1.01× |
| Sticker | Hydro Geysersticker · #4b69ff | 13.0% | $0.05 0.08 gems | 1.2% | 3,673 | 3659.1 | 1.00× |
| Sticker | Lefty (T)sticker · #4b69ff | 15.0% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 0.7% | 4,270 | 4222.1 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.62 | 89.48% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#eb4b4b 2.0%extraordinary 2.0%#8847ff 15.0%#d32ce6 10.0%blue 5.0%common 5.0%#4b69ff 61.0%best hit —