Stoney's Hope v3

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$7.46
11.48 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.99%
3,202 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
79.34%±29.001,138 openings
7 days
74.58%±17.433,042 openings
30 days
76.99%±17.503,202 openings
since tracking started
76.99%±17.503,202 openings
49.5%79.3%109.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,13879.34%±29.0—sample
7d3,04274.58%±17.4—sample
30d3,20276.99%±17.5—sample
All3,20276.99%±17.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold$7.4611.48 gems$454699 gems60.89x
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold$7.4611.48 gems$454699 gems60.89x
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold$7.4611.48 gems$454699 gems60.89x
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold$7.4611.48 gems$454699 gems60.89x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$7.4611.48 gems$444682 gems59.45x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$7.4611.48 gems$444682 gems59.45x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$7.4611.48 gems$443681 gems59.36x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$7.4611.48 gems$437673 gems58.60x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$7.4611.48 gems$437673 gems58.60x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$7.4611.48 gems$437673 gems58.60x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$7.4611.48 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $454 (60.89x)