Stream Sniper
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$40.00
61.54 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $36.00 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.04%
515 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 521 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified | 1 in 40 | $456 701 gems | 31.6% | 14 | 13.0 | 1.07× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Minimal Wear)gloves · rare | 1 in 40 | $203 313 gems | 14.1% | 15 | 13.0 | 1.15× |
| AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $111 171 gems | 15.4% | 24 | 26.1 | 0.92× |
| M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare | 1 in 20 | $59.61 91.71 gems | 8.3% | 30 | 26.1 | 1.15× |
| M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $34.02 52.34 gems | 9.5% | 41 | 52.1 | 0.79× |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 10.0% | $22.89 35.21 gems | 6.4% | 49 | 52.1 | 0.94× |
| Dual Berettas | Demolitionweapon · restricted | 10.0% | $13.94 21.44 gems | 3.9% | 53 | 52.1 | 1.02× |
| Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary | 25.0% | $8.61 13.25 gems | 6.0% | 128 | 130.3 | 0.98× |
| USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 30.0% | $5.82 8.96 gems | 4.9% | 167 | 156.3 | 1.07× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $40.00 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 2.5%rare 7.5%covert 15.0%Ancient 10.0%restricted 40.0%Legendary 25.0%best hit —