Sugar Ray

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$23.34
35.9 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.82%
3,905 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
96.17%±16.511,646 openings
7 days
91.64%±10.623,598 openings
30 days
92.82%±10.333,905 openings
since tracking started
92.82%±10.333,905 openings
79.0%96.3%113.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,64696.17%±16.5—sample
7d3,59891.64%±10.6—sample
30d3,90592.82%±10.3—sample
All3,90592.82%±10.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$23.3435.9 gems$1,3912,141 gems59.62x
Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014sticker · high$23.3435.9 gems$1,3912,141 gems59.62x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$23.3435.9 gems$8451,300 gems36.21x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$23.3435.9 gems$0.010.02 gems0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$23.3435.9 gems$0.010.02 gems0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$23.3435.9 gems$0.010.02 gems0.00x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$23.3435.9 gems$391601 gems16.74x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$23.3435.9 gems$0.010.02 gems0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$23.3435.9 gems$0.010.02 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,391 (59.62x)