Sun Dried
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$13.07
20.11 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $11.76 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.12%
8,165 openings, odds method
Variance
42.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,304 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covertKinder Egg Day Today$13.0720.11 gems$1,7192,644 gems131.5x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covertMax1u |Respekcik| -YT-$13.0720.11 gems$1,7192,644 gems131.5x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $13.07 | 89.97% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 13.7%legendary 0.3%Restricted 11.0%#eb4b4b 2.0%milspec 3.0%blue 20.0%mil spec 50.0%best hit $1,719 (131.5x)