super lucky serpent

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.85

1.3 gems

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

76.34%

2,205 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

373 openings · below min

7 days

75.79%±52.002,025 openings

30 days

76.34%±49.512,205 openings

since tracking started

76.34%±49.512,205 openings

-0.5%190.3%381.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	373	171.08%±209.4	—	sample
7d	2,025	75.79%±52.0	—	sample
30d	2,205	76.34%±49.5	—	sample
All	2,205	76.34%±49.5	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert$0.851.3 gems$288443 gems340.7x17h

★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$0.851.3 gems$124192 gems147.3x17h

★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$0.851.3 gems$124192 gems147.3x22h

★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$0.851.3 gems$124192 gems147.3x1d

★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$0.851.3 gems$124192 gems147.3x3d

★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertKaqboah 420 Peek$0.851.3 gems$124192 gems147.3x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x1h

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerthom94$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x1h

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x4h

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerملك الغبار اثنان$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x4h

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x14h

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerRheik1n$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x14h

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x14h

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerRheik1n$0.851.3 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.01x14h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $288 (340.7x)