Team Select
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.41
9.86 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $5.77 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.90%
1,480 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,500 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Bloody Miami Darryl | The Professionalsagent · master | 1 in 33 | $28.59 43.98 gems | 14.9% | 43 | 45.0 | 0.96× |
| Getaway Sally | The Professionalsagent · exceptional | 1 in 25 | $19.57 30.11 gems | 13.6% | 59 | 60.0 | 0.98× |
| Number K | The Professionalsagent · superior | 1 in 13 | $17.16 26.4 gems | 23.8% | 141 | 120.0 | 1.18× |
| Sir Bloody Loudmouth Darryl | The Professionalsagent · red | 1 in 13 | $15.86 24.4 gems | 22.0% | 129 | 120.0 | 1.08× |
| Seal Team 6 Soldier | NSWC SEALagent · distinguished | 18.0% | $2.88 4.43 gems | 9.0% | 270 | 270.0 | 1.00× |
| Aspirant | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · blue | 18.0% | $1.83 2.81 gems | 5.7% | 263 | 270.0 | 0.97× |
| Markus Delrow | FBI HRTagent · violet | 18.0% | $1.66 2.56 gems | 5.2% | 248 | 270.0 | 0.92× |
| Buckshot | NSWC SEALagent · violet | 23.0% | $1.48 2.27 gems | 5.9% | 347 | 345.0 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sir Bloody Loudmouth Darryl | The Professionalsagent · redExeKeyboard$6.419.86 gems$15.8624.4 gems2.47x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.41 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmaster 3.0%exceptional 4.0%superior 8.0%red 8.0%distinguished 18.0%blue 18.0%violet 41.0%best hit —