Price
$59.77
91.96 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $53.79 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.59%
2,241 openings, odds method
Variance
113.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 250
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,258 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New)gloves · legendarySkyScar$59.7791.96 gems$17.8K27,429 gems298.3x
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendarymattdavis213$59.7791.96 gems$7,08110,894 gems118.5x
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendary$59.7791.96 gems$7,08110,894 gems118.5x
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)gloves · legendarySkyScar$59.7791.96 gems$3,8935,990 gems65.14x
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)gloves · legendary$59.7791.96 gems$3,8935,990 gems65.14x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny$59.7791.96 gems$1,6542,544 gems27.66x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny$59.7791.96 gems$1,6542,544 gems27.66x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny$59.7791.96 gems$1,6542,544 gems27.66x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $59.77 | 90.00% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.7%sunny 0.2%Ancient 0.3%#eb4b4b 0.9%Legendary 13.0%pink 10.0%Mythical 15.0%#8847ff 15.0%violet 20.0%blue 25.0%best hit $17.8K (298.3x)