Terminal Touch

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$59.77
91.96 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $53.79 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.59%
2,241 openings, odds method
Variance
113.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 250
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
250 openings · below min
7 days
82.26%±46.292,027 openings
30 days
89.59%±44.032,241 openings
since tracking started
89.59%±44.032,241 openings
-0.5%117.8%236.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h250103.56%±131.8—odds
7d2,02782.26%±46.3−0.3σodds
30d2,24189.59%±44.0−0.0σodds
All2,24189.59%±44.0−0.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,258 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,000$17.8K 27,429 gems33.1%32.31.33×
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,000$7,081 10,894 gems13.2%22.30.89×
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 500$3,893 5,990 gems14.5%24.50.44×
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny1 in 500$1,654 2,544 gems6.1%44.50.89×
★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary1 in 400$696 1,071 gems3.2%55.60.89×
AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 400$464 714 gems2.2%55.60.89×
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 111$283 436 gems4.7%2120.31.03×
AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 33$125 192 gems7.0%5567.70.81×
P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)weapon · Legendary10.0%$33.75 51.93 gems6.3%234225.81.04×
P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink10.0%$13.80 21.23 gems2.6%233225.81.03×
Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)weapon · Mythical15.0%$11.27 17.34 gems3.1%338338.71.00×
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff15.0%$6.78 10.43 gems1.9%307338.70.91×
M4A1-S | Electrum (Well-Worn)weapon · violet20.0%$4.45 6.85 gems1.7%467451.61.03×
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue25.0%$0.98 1.5 gems0.5%582564.51.03×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New)gloves · legendary$59.7791.96 gems$17.8K27,429 gems298.3x
★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New)gloves · legendary$59.7791.96 gems$17.8K27,429 gems298.3x
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendary$59.7791.96 gems$7,08110,894 gems118.5x
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)gloves · legendary$59.7791.96 gems$3,8935,990 gems65.14x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny$59.7791.96 gems$1,6542,544 gems27.66x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny$59.7791.96 gems$1,6542,544 gems27.66x
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear)gloves · sunny$59.7791.96 gems$1,6542,544 gems27.66x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$59.7791.96 gems$0.981.5 gems0.02x
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$59.7791.96 gems$0.981.5 gems0.02x
M4A1-S | Electrum (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$59.7791.96 gems$4.456.85 gems0.07x
AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)weapon · Legendary$59.7791.96 gems$125192 gems2.09x
M4A1-S | Electrum (Well-Worn)weapon · violet$59.7791.96 gems$4.456.85 gems0.07x
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$59.7791.96 gems$0.981.5 gems0.02x
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$59.7791.96 gems$0.981.5 gems0.02x
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$59.7791.96 gems$0.981.5 gems0.02x
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$59.7791.96 gems$0.981.5 gems0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$59.7790.00%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.7%sunny 0.2%Ancient 0.3%#eb4b4b 0.9%Legendary 13.0%pink 10.0%Mythical 15.0%#8847ff 15.0%violet 20.0%blue 25.0%best hit $17.8K (298.3x)