The Ivory Tower
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.66
10.25 gems
Advertised RTP
89.93%
EV $5.99 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.04%
1,898 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,904 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $26.92 41.41 gems | 67.4% | 293 | 285.6 | 1.03× |
| MAG-7 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff | 15.0% | $6.58 10.13 gems | 16.5% | 281 | 285.6 | 0.98× |
| P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 15.0% | $4.75 7.31 gems | 11.9% | 272 | 285.6 | 0.95× |
| CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blue | 15.0% | $0.79 1.21 gems | 2.0% | 295 | 285.6 | 1.03× |
| Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 15.0% | $0.68 1.04 gems | 1.7% | 295 | 285.6 | 1.03× |
| MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blue | 25.0% | $0.14 0.21 gems | 0.6% | 468 | 476.0 | 0.98× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.66 | 89.93% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 15.0%#87c7ff 15.0%mil spec 30.0%light blue 40.0%best hit —