Time 2 Print
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$101.41
156 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $91.27 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.62%
89 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 89 openings and 8.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 89 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 33 | $670 1,031 gems | 22.0% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.12× |
| ★ Karambit | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 14 | $420 646 gems | 32.2% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.64× |
| M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $276 425 gems | 24.2% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.98× |
| USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · red | 1 in 13 | $86.46 133 gems | 7.6% | 4 | 7.1 | 0.56× |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $61.28 94.28 gems | 5.4% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.84× |
| AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $49.40 76 gems | 4.3% | 12 | 7.1 | 1.69× |
| FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified | 1 in 13 | $35.12 54.03 gems | 3.1% | 13 | 7.1 | 1.83× |
| Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 13 | $9.76 15.01 gems | 0.9% | 4 | 7.1 | 0.56× |
| PP-Bizon | Bamboo Print (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade | 1 in 13 | $2.57 3.95 gems | 0.2% | 9 | 7.1 | 1.26× |
| XM1014 | Blue Steel (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 34.0% | $0.25 0.39 gems | 0.1% | 27 | 30.3 | 0.89× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covertFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$101156 gems$61.2894.28 gems0.60x
FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedAranel$101156 gems$35.1254.03 gems0.35x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $101 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 3.0%covert 31.0%red 8.0%classified 8.0%restricted 8.0%Consumer Grade 8.0%industrial 34.0%best hit $670 (6.61x)