Titan Wrath
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$67.28
104 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $60.55 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
8.49%
2,605 openings, odds method
Variance
669.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 1,000
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2,605 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,668 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary | 1 in 1,000 | $55.1K 84,763 gems | 91.0% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2015sticker · High Grade | 1 in 20 | $57.33 88.2 gems | 4.6% | 140 | 130.7 | 1.07× |
| Sticker | Cloud9 G2A | Katowice 2015sticker · high | 1 in 20 | $19.58 30.13 gems | 1.6% | 134 | 133.4 | 1.00× |
| Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas | Katowice 2015sticker · Rare | 10.0% | $7.53 11.58 gems | 1.2% | 271 | 266.8 | 1.02× |
| Stockholm 2021 Challengers Sticker Capsulecontainer | 20.0% | $2.48 3.81 gems | 0.8% | 517 | 533.6 | 0.97× |
| Stockholm 2021 Legends Sticker Capsulecontainer · 6 | 30.0% | $0.96 1.47 gems | 0.5% | 829 | 800.4 | 1.04× |
| Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsulecontainer · common | 30.0% | $0.45 0.69 gems | 0.2% | 777 | 800.4 | 0.97× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsulecontainer · common$67.28104 gems$0.450.69 gems0.01x
Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsulecontainer · common$67.28104 gems$0.450.69 gems0.01x
Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsulecontainer · common$67.28104 gems$0.450.69 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $67.28 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed6 30.0%legendary 0.1%High Grade 4.9%high 5.0%Rare 10.0%other 20.0%common 30.0%best hit —