Touch Grass
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$70.79
109 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $63.70 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.00%
1,197 openings, odds method
Variance
10.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,197 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 33 | $1,275 1,961 gems | 60.0% | 47 | 35.9 | 1.31× |
| ★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 14 | $306 471 gems | 33.7% | 77 | 83.8 | 0.92× |
| Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $12.40 19.08 gems | 1.9% | 107 | 119.7 | 0.89× |
| AWP | Atheris (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $6.18 9.5 gems | 1.9% | 234 | 239.4 | 0.98× |
| AK-47 | Green Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 20.0% | $5.34 8.22 gems | 1.7% | 235 | 239.4 | 0.98× |
| MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 20.0% | $1.32 2.03 gems | 0.4% | 262 | 239.4 | 1.09× |
| P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade | 20.0% | $1.02 1.57 gems | 0.3% | 235 | 239.4 | 0.98× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryBOTAIRTXonKICK Refbot,ai 50kLBs$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryGuncha69$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryLälo$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$70.79109 gems$1,2751,961 gems18.01x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $70.79 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 3.0%covert 7.0%classified 10.0%restricted 20.0%blue 20.0%industrial 20.0%Industrial Grade 20.0%best hit $1,275 (18.01x)