väike pede

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.42
0.64 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.78%
1,421 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
56 openings · below min
7 days
83.05%±55.651,213 openings
30 days
77.78%±48.541,421 openings
since tracking started
77.78%±48.541,421 openings
1.0%70.3%139.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h561.56%±0.00—sample
7d1,21383.05%±55.6—sample
30d1,42177.78%±48.5—sample
All1,42177.78%±48.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · gold$0.420.64 gems$55.4685.32 gems133.3x
USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)weapon · Ancient$0.420.64 gems$32.6350.2 gems78.44x
USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)weapon · Ancient$0.420.64 gems$32.6350.2 gems78.44x
P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.420.64 gems$28.0543.15 gems67.42x
P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.420.64 gems$28.0543.15 gems67.42x
P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.420.64 gems$28.0543.15 gems67.42x
P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.420.64 gems$28.0543.15 gems67.42x
P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.420.64 gems$28.0543.15 gems67.42x

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x
P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$0.420.64 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $106 (254.6x)