Valhalla
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$195.34
301 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $175.81 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.89%
81 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
40.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 81 openings and 24.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 81 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 10.0% | $337 519 gems | 19.2% | 4 | 8.1 | 0.49× |
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · gold | 20.0% | $319 490 gems | 36.2% | 18 | 16.2 | 1.11× |
| ★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert | 30.0% | $260 400 gems | 44.4% | 24 | 24.3 | 0.99× |
| AWP | Worm God (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $1.44 2.21 gems | 0.1% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× |
| CZ75-Auto | Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff | 10.0% | $0.96 1.48 gems | 0.1% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× |
| MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $0.21 0.32 gems | 0.0% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.23× |
| P90 | Ancient Earth (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade | 10.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.0% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $195 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 40.0%gold 20.0%restricted 10.0%#87c7ff 10.0%mil spec 10.0%Consumer Grade 10.0%best hit —