Vampire
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$32.25
49.61 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $29.02 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.23%
850 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 868 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $101 155 gems | 34.8% | 99 | 86.8 | 1.14× |
| AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $64.82 99.72 gems | 22.3% | 79 | 86.8 | 0.91× |
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 15.0% | $47.87 73.64 gems | 24.7% | 113 | 130.2 | 0.87× |
| AK-47 | Predator (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $23.65 36.39 gems | 12.2% | 138 | 130.2 | 1.06× |
| P250 | Muertos (Factory New)weapon · classified | 15.0% | $5.61 8.63 gems | 2.9% | 131 | 130.2 | 1.01× |
| M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 15.0% | $4.40 6.77 gems | 2.3% | 125 | 130.2 | 0.96× |
| MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $1.05 1.62 gems | 0.7% | 183 | 173.6 | 1.05× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.25 | 89.99% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 25.0%covert 10.0%legendary 15.0%industrial 15.0%classified 15.0%mil spec 20.0%best hit —