Vandals
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.90
1.38 gems
Advertised RTP
89.56%
EV $0.80 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.46%
14.2K openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sealed Graffiti | Recoil AK-47graffiti | 1 in 100 | $6.20 9.54 gems | 7.7% | 141 | 144.7 | 0.97× |
| Sealed Graffiti | G2 Esports | London 2018graffiti · high | 1 in 50 | $2.81 4.33 gems | 7.0% | 314 | 289.4 | 1.08× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Howling Dawngraffiti · Exotic | 1 in 33 | $2.57 3.95 gems | 9.6% | 441 | 434.1 | 1.02× |
| Sealed Graffiti | EZgraffiti · Mythical | 1 in 20 | $2.21 3.4 gems | 13.8% | 724 | 723.6 | 1.00× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Drug War Veterangraffiti · exotic | 1 in 20 | $1.76 2.71 gems | 11.0% | 753 | 723.6 | 1.04× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Tamaragraffiti · remarkable | 1 in 20 | $1.59 2.44 gems | 9.9% | 710 | 723.6 | 0.98× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Cheongsamgraffiti · remarkable | 1 in 20 | $1.33 2.04 gems | 8.3% | 759 | 723.6 | 1.05× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Crowngraffiti · Mythical | 1 in 20 | $1.33 2.04 gems | 8.3% | 710 | 723.6 | 0.98× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Clutch Kinggraffiti · Legendary | 1 in 13 | $1.03 1.58 gems | 9.6% | 1,050 | 1085.3 | 0.97× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Ragegraffiti · Mythical | 10.0% | $0.68 1.05 gems | 8.5% | 1,506 | 1447.1 | 1.04× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Pixiugraffiti | 10.0% | $0.49 0.75 gems | 6.1% | 1,431 | 1447.1 | 0.99× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Keep the Changegraffiti | 12.5% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 0.2% | 1,767 | 1808.9 | 0.98× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti | 14.0% | <$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.1% | 2,028 | 2025.9 | 1.00× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teethgraffiti | 15.0% | <$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.1% | 2,137 | 2170.7 | 0.98× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.56%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.90 | 89.56% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 52.5%high 2.0%Exotic 3.0%Mythical 20.0%exotic 5.0%remarkable 10.0%Legendary 7.5%best hit —