Venom
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$93.23
143 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $83.91 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.08%
116 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 144 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary | 10.0% | $519 799 gems | 61.9% | 14 | 14.4 | 0.97× |
| MAC-10 | Hot Snakes (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $159 245 gems | 19.0% | 12 | 14.4 | 0.83× |
| AWP | Snake Camo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $159 245 gems | 19.0% | 14 | 14.4 | 0.97× |
| Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade | 20.0% | $0.21 0.33 gems | 0.1% | 28 | 28.8 | 0.97× |
| MP9 | Sand Scale (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.0% | 35 | 28.8 | 1.22× |
| AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade | 30.0% | $0.07 0.1 gems | 0.0% | 41 | 43.2 | 0.95× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · ExtraordinarySmiling Grizzly$93.23143 gems$519799 gems5.57x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $93.23 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExtraordinary 10.0%classified 10.0%mil spec 30.0%Industrial Grade 20.0%Consumer Grade 30.0%best hit $519 (5.57x)