Violet Voltage

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price

$118.29

182 gems

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $106.45 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

97.61%

430 openings, odds method

Variance

7.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 20

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

80.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

113.90%±38.81197 openings

7 days

98.79%±29.50341 openings

30 days

97.61%±26.27430 openings

since tracking started

97.61%±26.27430 openings

68.5%111.0%153.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	197	113.90%±38.8	+1.2σ	odds
7d	341	98.79%±29.5	+0.6σ	odds
30d	430	97.61%±26.3	+0.6σ	odds
All	430	97.61%±26.3	+0.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 430 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary	1 in 50	$1,932 2,973 gems	36.3%	7	8.6	0.81×
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl	1 in 33	$1,176 1,810 gems	33.2%	19	12.9	1.47×
M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · epic	1 in 20	$162 250 gems	7.6%	22	21.5	1.02×
AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert	10.0%	$123 190 gems	11.6%	38	43.0	0.88×
R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert	10.0%	$51.46 79.17 gems	4.8%	41	43.0	0.95×
Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	10.0%	$26.12 40.18 gems	2.5%	59	43.0	1.37×
CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New)weapon · classified	10.0%	$19.23 29.58 gems	1.8%	45	43.0	1.05×
Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	10.0%	$10.52 16.19 gems	1.0%	47	43.0	1.09×
USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	10.0%	$6.66 10.24 gems	0.6%	38	43.0	0.88×
Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Factory New)weapon · restricted	10.0%	$2.79 4.29 gems	0.3%	36	43.0	0.84×
Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	10.0%	$2.37 3.64 gems	0.2%	37	43.0	0.86×
P250 \| Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	10.0%	$1.47 2.26 gems	0.1%	41	43.0	0.95×

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary☠$118182 gems$1,9322,973 gems16.34x16h

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$118182 gems$1,9322,973 gems16.34x17h

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$118182 gems$1,9322,973 gems16.34x18h

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$118182 gems$1,9322,973 gems16.34x5d

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$118182 gems$1,1761,810 gems9.95x8h

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$1k LB - Code *STV*$118182 gems$1,1761,810 gems9.95x15h

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$118182 gems$1,1761,810 gems9.95x16h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$118182 gems$6.6610.24 gems0.06x8h

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient$118182 gems$26.1240.18 gems0.22x8h

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$118182 gems$1,1761,810 gems9.95x8h

Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$118182 gems$10.5216.19 gems0.09x8h

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient$118182 gems$26.1240.18 gems0.22x8h

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffEnergetic Lion$118182 gems$1.472.26 gems0.01x8h

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$118182 gems$1.472.26 gems0.01x14h

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff$118182 gems$2.373.64 gems0.02x14h

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$118182 gems$51.4679.17 gems0.44x14h

USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$118182 gems$6.6610.24 gems0.06x14h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC	$118	90.00%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 2.0%covert 23.0%epic 5.0%Ancient 10.0%classified 10.0%Mythical 10.0%mil spec 10.0%restricted 10.0%#8847ff 20.0%best hit $1,932 (16.34x)